Swing State Odds
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Both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are zeroing in on the swing states where either candidate could come out on top in the November elections. However, the unusual amount of attention given to certain states while others are essentially left by the wayside illustrates the problems with the Electoral College system. Swing States: Live Predictions. In alphabetical order, we'll show you all the swing states and their live probabilities. Remember, these graphs are LIVE and update any time the market moves. Bookmark this page and you'll know each state's exact probability. All three major US indices soared on Wednesday as the odds swung to favor Joe Biden after he took Michigan - a key swing state. Biden has likely pocketed 264 out of the 270 electoral votes that are.
(CNSNews.com) - The U.S. Supreme Court has placed on its docket a lawsuit filed by Texas asking the court to 'delay the deadline for the appointment of presidential electors' so ongoing voter fraud investigations may be completed.
The State of Texas says the Supreme Court should 'ultimately' direct (Republican) legislatures in four swing states to appoint the presidential electors.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton filed the lawsuit against Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin, where the Trump campaign alleges the election was 'stolen' from him.
'It's really important to my state that my voters be represented,' Paxton told Fox News's Sean Hannity Tuesday night.
'And if other states don't follow the Constitution, and if their state legislature isn't responsible for overseeing their elections and we have other people who are not under the Constitution supposed to be doing this, it affects my state.
'And so, our job is to make sure that the Constitution is followed and that every vote counts. In this case, I'm not sure that every vote was counted, not in the right way.'
According to the lawsuit: 'To safeguard public legitimacy at this unprecedented moment and restore public trust in the presidential election, this Court should extend the December 14, 2020 deadline for Defendant States’ certification of presidential electors to allow these investigations to be completed.'
The lawsuit argues that election 'flaws' make it impossible to know 'who legitimately won the 2020 election and threaten to cloud all future elections,” and therefore, the job of choosing electors should fall to lawmakers in those four states.
Paxton noted that the U.S. Supreme Court is the only one that can decide state-on-state disputes: 'And so we're pleading with the Supreme Court, please hear our case. Give us a chance, at least, to argue what we think is right. We want to argue the Constitution.'
The Supreme Court late Tuesday asked the four defendant states to respond to the lawsuit by Thursday, December 10, at 3 p.m., but there's no guarantee the Justices will actually hear the case.
Paxton said the heart of the case involves changes in election law that were made by state officials other than state lawmakers:
'It is the responsibility of state legislatures, per the Constitution, to set the rules for election of electors. In this case, those were overridden in the four states we're talking about, were overridden by other officials, whether they were judges or other governmental officials. And that's not the way our Constitution works.
'That's the challenge we have in front of the court -- can this be overridden by people who are not responsible under the Constitution for doing this?'
The lawsuit also alleges that the four defendant states violated the Equal Protection Clause. 'In this case, in all four states, we have county by county distinctions that treated voters differently. We, therefore, have unreliable results, and that's a problem,' Paxton said.
He noted that it is not 'uncommon' for a state legislature to elect the electors: 'So we're saying, hey, look, the results here -- we can't go back and let the genie back in the bottle, because we don't know how to match up signatures anymore because they were separated from ballot.
'Since we can't go back and do that, we want to go back to the legislature and let them make a decision since they were elected by the people of their states.'
Jay Sekulow, a former Trump attorney and head of the American Center for Law and Justice, said the Texas case 'is the most significant' of all the election challenges that have been filed:
'It’s the most significant because it is completely outcome determinative. What does that mean? It means that if the Court were to rule in favor of Texas, those four states, the states named in the complaint, would in in fact have their state legislatures determine the outcome. They would pick the electors.
'This is a lawsuit, of course, against Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. It is original jurisdiction, which means it doesn’t start at the district court level. It starts at the Supreme Court of the United States...'
Earlier on Tuesday, the U.S. Supreme Court, without comment, rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to overturn the state's certification of the Nov. 3 election for Democrat Joe Biden.
November 17 Update: While some battleground states are dealing with recounts and legal issues surrounding the handling of ballots, there are not really any new odds surfacing for the 2020 Presidential Election. There are, however, some lines available for the remaining Georgia Senate Runoff taking place in early January. Of course the earlier you place your bet, the bigger the payout, but you do have right up until the vote on Jan. 5th, 2021.
In the United States, the outcome of the Presidential Election is determined by which candidate meets the minimum threshold of 270 electoral votes and then wins the majority of these votes. It is possible for a Presidential candidate to win the popular vote but lose the Presidency due to the electoral vote distribution. Because of this constant intrigue, multiple legitimate offshore sportsbooks offer odds related to electoral votes by state.
In the US, each state is worth a specified number of votes in the Electoral College. Naturally, the states with larger numbers of electoral votes are the prized destinations that each candidate attempts to win over, though the biggest states are typical party stalwarts (i.e. CA always going Democrat while Texas always goes Republican).
Here we take a look at each state and which candidate they are currently leaning towards, and we will also discuss key swing states in the 2020 Presidential election, also known as battleground states, and provide some links to monitoring these states as the election progresses. You can visit our page about the Vegas odds for 2020 state primary elections for more information about betting on state primaries.
We also include information on where you can legally place bets on the current Electoral College odds. This information will be helpful to you should you decide to participate in the various state-related betting lines available at any legal online sportsbook offering political wagering.
Where To Bet - Sportsbooks Offering Odds On Who Will Win The Electoral College Vote For Each State
| Site | Bonus | Rating/5 | USA | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% Max $250 | 4.5 | ||
| 2 | 50% Max $1,000 | 4.4 | ||
| 3 | 100% Max $1,000 | 4.4 | ||
| 3 | 75% Max $1,000 | 4.1 |
Current 2020 Electoral Odds By State
The following odds are all from BetOnline, which currently has lines up for all 50 states in the 2020 Presidential election. You can get the best odds - and the best payouts! - by making your picks early. Check back here frequently, as every state's updated lines will be posted as soon as they are released.
Note: The odds right now presume that Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee and that Donald Trump will remain in office and be on the GOP general election ticket.
Alabama
- Republican -2500
- Democrat +1400
Alaska
- Republican -700
- Democrat +500
Arizona
- Democrat -130
- Republican +100 (EVEN)
Arkansas
- Republican -1000
- Democrat +600
California
- Democrat -1500
- Republican +1000
Colorado
- Democrat -900
- Republican +600
Connecticut
- Democrat -1300
- Republican +600
Delaware
- Democrat -1600
- Republican +1100
Florida
- Democrat -120
- Republican -110
Georgia
- Republican -220
- Democrat +180
Hawaii
- Democrat -2500
- Republican +1400
Idaho
- Republican -3300
- Democrat +1600
Illinois
- Democrat -1000
- Republican +700
Indiana
- Republican -900
- Democrat +600
Iowa
- Republican -260
- Democrat +200
Kansas
- Republican -1200
- Democrat +900
Kentucky
- Republican -2000
- Democrat +1200
Louisiana
- Republican -1600
- Democrat +1100
Maine
- Democrat -400
- Republican +300
Maryland
- Democrat -1500
- Republican +1000
Massachusetts
- Democrat -1600
- Republican +1100
Michigan
- Democrat -225
- Republican +185
Minnesota
- Democrat -180
- Republican +150
Mississippi
- Republican -1600
- Democrat +1100
Missouri
- Republican -900
- Democrat +600
Montana
- Republican -800
- Democrat +550
Nebraska
- Republican -1600
- Democrat +1100
Nevada
- Democrat -300
- Republican +240
New Hampshire
- Democrat -240
- Republican +190
New Jersey
- Democrat -1100
- Republican +800
New Mexico
- Democrat -700
- Republican +500
New York
- Democrat -1100
- Republican +800
North Carolina
- Republican -150
- Democrat +120
North Dakota
- Republican -2000
- Democrat +1200
Ohio
- Republican -215
- Democrat +175
Oklahoma
- Republican -2500
- Democrat +1400
Oregon
- Democrat -900
- Republican +600
Pennsylvania
- Democrat -165
- Republican +135
Rhode Island
- Democrat -1500
- Republican +1000
South Carolina
- Republican -1000
- Democrat +700
South Dakota
- Republican -2500
- Democrat +1400
Tennessee
- Republican -1500
- Democrat +1000
Texas
- Republican -450
- Democrat +325
Utah
- Republican -1000
- Democrat +700
Vermont
- Democrat -1500
- Republican +1000
Virginia
- Democrat -750
- Republican +550
Washington
- Democrat -1500
- Republican +1000
West Virginia
- Republican -2500
- Democrat +1400
Wisconsin
- Democrat -165
- Republican +135
Wyoming
- Republican -3300
- Democrat +1600
Alabama
- Republican -4000
- Democrat +1000
Alaska
- Republican -900
- Democrat +500
Arizona
- Democrat -180
- Republican +135
Arkansas
- Republican -1100
- Democrat +575
California
- Democrat -2000
- Republican +800
Colorado
- Democrat -850
- Republican +475
Connecticut
- Democrat -3000
- Republican +900
Delaware
- Democrat -3000
- Republican +900
Florida
- Republican -120
- Democrat -110
Georgia
- Republican -220
- Democrat +165
Hawaii
- Democrat -6000
- Republican +1200
Idaho
- Republican -4000
- Democrat +1000
Illinois
- Democrat -3000
- Republican +900
Indiana
- Republican -2000
- Democrat +800
Iowa
- Republican -250
- Democrat +185
Kansas
- Republican -2000
- Democrat +800
Kentucky
- Republican -3000
- Democrat +900
Louisiana
- Republican -1600
- Democrat +700
Maine
- Democrat -500
- Republican +330
Maryland
- Democrat -3300
- Republican +950
Massachusetts
- Democrat N/A
- Republican N/A
Michigan
- Democrat -250
- Republican +185
Minnesota
- Democrat -220
- Republican +165
Mississippi
- Republican -2000
- Democrat +800
Missouri
- Republican -1000
- Democrat +550
Montana
- Republican -1000
- Democrat +550
Nebraska
- Republican -3000
- Democrat +900
Nevada
- Democrat -500
- Republican +330
New Hampshire
- Democrat -250
- Republican +185
New Jersey
- Democrat -1800
- Republican +725
New Mexico
- Democrat -1000
- Republican +550
New York
- Democrat -3000
- Republican +900
North Carolina
- Democrat -130
- Republican +100 (EVEN)
North Dakota
Swing State Odds Game
- Republican -3000
- Democrat +900
Ohio
- Republican -240
- Democrat +175
Oklahoma
- Republican -3000
- Democrat +900
Oregon
- Democrat -1200
- Republican +600
Pennsylvania
- Democrat -190
- Republican +145
Rhode Island
- Democrat -3000
- Republican +900
South Carolina
- Republican -1400
- Democrat +650
South Dakota
- Republican -4000
- Democrat +1000
Tennessee
- Republican -3000
- Democrat +900
Texas
- Republican -360
- Democrat +250
Utah
- Republican -1900
- Democrat +750
Vermont
- Democrat -6000
- Republican +1200
Virginia
- Democrat -900
- Republican +500
Washington
- Democrat -2000
- Republican +800
West Virginia
- Republican -4000
- Democrat +1000
Wisconsin
- Democrat -150
- Republican +115
Wyoming
- Republican -3000
- Democrat +900
Electoral College Predictions For 2020 Presidential Election
The leanings of each individual state can fluctuate right up through Election Day. However, there are some instances where a candidate has established a safe state for their party by obtaining a majority of the support from that region.
Swing State Odds 2020
Below is a listing of those states that are considered ‘safe’ for each candidate and can be reasonably predicted to vote in a specific direction. We have also listed the toss-up states that could go either direction.
States That Voted For Trump In 2016
Trump secured support in the following states. We’ve broken down the list into a few categories showing the overarching strength of Republican support, which should give bettors some insight into how these states will vote in 2020.
Solid Trump States – Solid Republican States
- Alabama - 9 electoral votes
- Arkansas - 6 electoral votes
- Idaho - 4 electoral votes
- Louisiana - 8 electoral votes
- Kentucky - 8 electoral votes
- Mississippi - 6 electoral votes
- Nebraska - 4 electoral votes
- North Dakota - 3 electoral votes
- Oklahoma - 7 electoral votes
- West Virginia - 5 electoral votes
- Wyoming - 3 electoral votes
States Likely To Vote Trump – States Likely To Vote Republican
- Alaska - 3 electoral votes
- Indiana - 11 electoral votes
- Kansas - 6 electoral votes
- Missouri - 10 electoral votes
- Montana - 3 electoral votes
- Nebraska - 1 electoral vote
- South Dakota - 3 electoral votes
- Tennessee - 11 electoral votes
- Texas - 38 electoral votes
- Utah - 6 electoral votes
Swing State Odds College Football
States Leaning Trump – States Leaning Republican
- South Carolina with 9 electoral votes
States That Voted For Hillary In 2016
The following states were predicted to be in the Clinton camp for the 2016 Presidential election, which can indicate a tendency to vote Democrat in 2020. However, given Trump's polarizing nature and populist support, one or more of these DNC strongholds could teeter over to the other side come the November general.
Solid Democrat States
- California - 55 electoral votes
- DC - 3 electoral votes
- Hawaii - 4 electoral votes
- Massachusetts - 11 electoral votes
- Maryland - 10 electoral votes
- New York - 29 electoral votes
- Vermont - 3 electoral votes
States Likely To Vote Democrat
Swing State Odds Golf
- Delaware - 3 electoral votes
- Illinois - 20 electoral votes
- New Jersey - 14 electoral votes
- Rhode Island - 4 electoral votes
- Washington State - 12 electoral votes
States Leaning Towards Voting Democrat
- Connecticut - 7 electoral votes
- Maine - 1 electoral vote
- Oregon - 7 electoral votes
- Minnesota - 10 electoral votes
- Wisconsin - 10 electoral votes
Toss Up States In The 2016 Presidential Election
These states were undecided before the 2016 election, with neither candidate securing the majority of support. Several of these states were considered swing states or battleground states, and both candidates campaigned heavily in them in the last days before the Big Vote. Below you will find information specifically discussing potential 2020 Presidential election swing states.
- Arizona - 11 electoral votes
- Colorado - 9 electoral votes
- Florida - 29 electoral votes
- Georgia - 16 electoral votes
- Iowa - 6 electoral votes
- Maine - 3 electoral votes
- Michigan - 16 electoral votes
- New Hampshire - 4 electoral votes
- New Mexico - 5 electoral votes
- Nevada - 6 electoral votes
- North Carolina - 15 electoral votes
- Ohio - 18 electoral votes
- Pennsylvania - 20 electoral votes
- Virginia - 13 electoral votes
Swing State Odds Calculator
What Are The Swing States For the 2020 Presidential Election?
Swing states, battleground states, and toss ups - Regardless of what we call them, they often determine the results of the Presidential election. No candidate or political party enjoys overwhelming support in these regions, and so they get a lot of attention as the general election nears.
11 regions have been designated as the 2020 swing states in the Presidential election, with three of these states considered to be ‘key’ battleground states. Securing support in these is critical for all Presidential candidates.
Swing states Florida and Ohio have determined the results of the race in recent election cycles, and they are always a crown jewel in the Electoral College process. Following is a list of the designated swing states for 2020, with the three key battleground states listed first.
You may notice that all of the swing states are also listed on the list of toss up states with the exception of Wisconsin. Wisconsin has recently been moved to ‘leaning Democrat’ status, but the Democrat lead there is not significant enough to remove the state from still being considered a swing state.
- Florida
- Ohio
- Pennsylvania
- Wisconsin
- New Hampshire
- Minnesota
- Iowa
- Michigan
- Nevada
- Colorado
- North Carolina
Vegas Odds On State Electoral Votes
Betting on which direction a state will vote has become a part of the political betting lines available on the 2020 presidential election. Some sportsbooks provide odds on every single state, while others may only include toss up or swing states. This makes sense as there really isn’t much risk in predicting that a solid red or blue state will vote in their typical fashion.
Some of the state-related wagering options you’ll find at our recommended sportsbooks offering political betting lines are things like what percentage of total states will be won by each party, which candidate or party will receive the popular vote in a given state, and which candidate or party will receive the electoral vote in a given state.